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Lower RED RIVER RISING- (Piggy Time?)

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(This most likely will get a big cat bite rolling up North.)

RED RIVER RISING

DUE TO HEAVY RAINS

The River Forecast Centre of Manitoba Conservation reports that the Red River will experience a gradual but steady rise over the next two weeks due to heavy run-off from last week's rain and last night's torrential downpours in the Fargo, N. D., area. The river will remain well within its banks unless additional heavy rainstorms develop.

Additional rises above today’s levels will range from 16 feet at Emerson to 10 feet at Ste. Agathe and eight feet at the Floodway Inlet. Within the City of Winnipeg additional rises will range from seven feet in Fort Garry to five and a half feet downtown and three feet in North Kildonan. The Forks walkways will likely be flooded during the last week of June and the first two weeks of July. Levels will fall two and a half feet just south of Lockport due to gate operation and will rise close to three feet from Lockport to Selkirk.

The River Forecast Centre also reports that additional heavy rain is expected in the Whiteshell area of Manitoba tonight and Wednesday. This will further increase levels on Whiteshell area lakes, which are already above flood stage due to last week’s heavy downpours.

The present storm system is also producing significant rainfall in the Westlake area as far north as Swan River. Streams in that region will rise significantly but flooding is unlikely. The Assiniboine River, Souris River and Pembina River will rise somewhat but no problems are anticipated.

Little further rise is expected on Red River tributaries in Manitoba, except the Roseau River, which will rise several more feet. Levels of the Seine, Brokenhead and Whitemouth rivers, and Cook’s Creek will continue to fall from last week’s unusual heights unless additional heavy rain develops.

This forecast is based largely on a quick assessment of rainfall and run-off conditions in the Fargo area where up to 175 mm (7 inches) of rain fell last night. The U.S. National Weather Service will be doing further analysis of this situation, which may lead to some revisions in the forecast for Manitoba points in the next few days.

TABLE OF EXPECTED RED RIVER LEVELS

EXPECTED RED RIVER LEVELS

Rises at various points along the Red River since June 10 and anticipated additional rises and crest dates are as follows:

Actual and Predicted Levels in Feet

Level

June 20 a.m.
Rise Since

June 10
Predicted

Crest
Date

Emerson
762.2
10.9
778
June 30

Morris
750.3
---
763
July 1

Ste. Agathe
745.1
7.6
755
July 2

Floodway Inlet
739.2
4.7
747
July 3

Bishop Grandin
737.0
2.7
744.0
July 3

James Avenue *
734.9 (7.3)
0.8
740.5 (12.9)
July 3

Kildonan
734.0
0.1
737.5
July 3

Lockport u/s
728.8
-2.5
726.5
July 4

Lockport d/s
716.2
0.5
719.0
July 4

The James Avenue level is given in feet above sea level and, in brackets, feet above average winter ice level. The normal summer level is 6.4 feet.

------------------
Backwater Eddy..><,sUMo,>

Backwater Guiding
"Ed on the RED"
(701)-281-2300

[email protected]

http://home.talkcity.com/ResortRd/backwtr1/index.html

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If venturing out on the river north of the 49th I'd suggest caution. There is a lot of trash in the river right now (I've seen whole maples and ash trees going down the river) and it seems to be drawn to props and lower units like steel to a magnet ( I lost three props and a lower unit last year to trash --- AT NIGHT --- my fault). Both Selkirk park and Stu Mckay's Cats on the Red have pulled their docks. Launching is still possible but you'll have to pull your boat up to shore. I suspect the levels won't be up for too much longer but until things stabilize a bit go carefully!

------------------
Dan Kiazyk
Cat Eye Outfitter
http://www.geocities.com/dkiazyk2000
[email protected]

[This message has been edited by dkiazyk (edited 06-19-2002).]

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Very wise advise Dan!

I too have seen stuff WAY larger them a boat bobbing on the Red under such conditions.

CAUTION is critical!

High water on the lower Red can often mean hot shore fishing too, so consider that if you go North.

wink.gif

Be safe out there folks!

------------------
Backwater Eddy..><,sUMo,>

Backwater Guiding
"Ed on the RED"
(701)-281-2300

[email protected]

http://home.talkcity.com/ResortRd/backwtr1/index.html

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