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buzzsaw

Triple threat

1 post in this topic

A copy and paste job....

The Twins weren't supposed to make the playoffs when they were 27-34 on June 10. They weren't supposed to make the playoffs when they lost Francisco Liriano for the first time ... or for the second time. And yet here they are, AL Central champs and holding home-field advantage over Oakland in the Division Series.

The Twins have the three best players in the series in Johan Santana, Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau. The A's have the weakest offense of any postseason team. Both teams have great bullpens; each is missing a major component (Liriano for the Twins, Bobby Crosby for the A's).

When the Twins are up

• It's all about the heart of the Twins' order. Look for Mauer, Morneau, Michael Cuddyer, and Torii Hunter to do most of the damage for the Twins. If that's not the case, they're going to struggle to score enough runs to win.

• The Twins' hitters don't draw many walks, which means a smart pitcher who gets ahead can expand the zone and get the Twins' hitters -- even their better hitters, like Cuddyer and Hunter -- to chase.

• The Twins also have at least one major hole in their lineup in almost every game, either in left field or at the DH spot. Either Rondell White or Phil Nevin is usually in the lineup, and neither one can hit a lick. It's an unnecessary surrender, so if either of those guys falls into a hot streak, the Twins become a better team than they are on paper.

When the A's are up

• If Santana's pitching, this could be a quick affair. He pounds the strike zone and misses bats, while the A's depend on getting some free passes and capitalizing on pitchers' mistakes.

• Beyond Santana, though, the A's have opportunities against the Twins' other starters. Brad Radke is all guts and guile at this point, as his stuff is well below-average and extremely hittable. Carlos Silva has had trouble getting his sinker to sink, and when he elevates the ball, he's hittable and homer-prone. Boof Bonser has thrown well since his recall, but had command and control issues earlier in the season. The weak A's offense needs that kind of break to give their starters the big run support they'll need.

• The Twins' pitchers throw strikes; the A's hitters take walks, led by Nick Swisher's team-high 97. Whichever side wins that battle will probably win the series.

Keys for the Twins

• Take a pitch. Other than Dan Haren, the A's playoff starters are all prone to issuing free passes, so if Barry Zito (second in the AL in walks allowed this year) is a little wild, the Twins have to be willing to take their walks and force Zito (or Esteban Loaiza or Rich Harden) to give them something to hit.

Nathan

• Get the lead after six. Juan Rincon-Jesse Crain-Dennys Reyes-Joe Nathan, in whatever order, is the best bullpen among the playoff teams, and Pat Neshek is a great tactical weapon to supplement those guys. If the Twins have the lead after six innings, they should win that game.

• Have a backup plan. Silva and Radke are both big question marks, and soft righties are not what you want to throw up against the A's. The Twins need to have someone ready -- probably Matt Garza -- so that manager Ron Gardenhire can put a tourniquet on an early deficit and keep his team in the game.

Keys for the A's

• Santana can only pitch twice, so the easiest way for the A's to take the series is by winning the other three games. On the other hand, the A's have been a much better offensive team this year against left-handed starters. It's just a difficult matchup for them, given that the one lefty they'll face happens to be the best pitcher in baseball.

• Because the A's offense is so weak, the A's pitchers have to minimize the impact of the top and bottom of the Twins' lineup. Luis Castillo, Nick Punto, Jason Bartlett and Jason Tyner are all slap hitters with way below-average power and below-average plate discipline; those are the relatively easy outs that the Twins offer their opponents, and if those guys aren't on base for the Mauer-Hunter stretch of hitters, the A's will be able to stay in games.

• Rich Harden looked good in his second return start last week, but was shelled in his tuneup start Sunday, so he's a big question mark for the postseason. He's expected to pitch, but the A's can ill afford a repeat of his 3 2/3-inning, six-walk effort on Sunday against Anaheim.

Prediction

The A's haven't been able to pull off a Division Series win in their last four trips, and they've usually been felled by odd events or bad luck. Their bad luck this time is in an unfavorable matchup; Cinderella gets to go to the ball in the Bronx next week. Twins in four.

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  • Posts

    • HunterFisher11

      Posted

      Thanks for the info!!! Will be up there on 10/5-10/8, have been looking at the weather and I hope they are wrong because looks like rain... Have you ever tried fishing out on pike island area? Brother inlaw drove down there this summer and said there were quiet a few people fishing there.

    • Minnesota motorists can support conservation with a new critical habitat plate featuring a wild turkey.
      The new plate displays a colorful tom turkey and is the ninth critical habitat plate offered. Other plates display a moose, loon, pheasant, chickadee, showy lady’s slipper, a fishing scene and two with white-tailed deer. There is also a specialty license plate for state parks and trails.

      “Wild turkey restoration in Minnesota is one of our great conservation success stories,” said Kim Hennings, wildlife land acquisition coordinator. “The critical habitat plates are a great way for motorists to show their interest and support for Minnesota’s fish and wildlife resources.”

      Wild turkeys are native to southeastern Minnesota, but disappeared by 1880 because of habitat loss and unregulated hunting. Successful reintroduction efforts starting in the 1970s led to turkeys now living over a wide range of Minnesota.

      “The wild turkey critical habitat plate has been long awaited for by our membership in Minnesota and turkey hunting enthusiasts,” said Tom Glines, National Wild Turkey Federation regional director. “We love the wild turkey resource and want to do everything we can do to keep wild turkey populations healthy and thriving.”

      The Minnesota Legislature created the critical habitat license plate program in 1995 to provide additional opportunity for Minnesotans to contribute toward conservation. Motorists who purchase a critical habitat plate pay a $10 initial fee, plus a minimum annual contribution of $30 to the Reinvest in Minnesota (RIM) program. Every dollar generated through the sale of the license plate is matched with private donations of cash or land. The annual $30 contribution is not tax deductible.

      Critical habitat license plate revenue has generated more than $59 million to acquire or improve 22,000 acres of critical habitat and helped fund non-game wildlife research and surveys, habitat enhancement and educational programs. Information about the program and details about how to order plates are available on the DNR website at www.mndnr.gov/plates.

      The new license plates are now available at deputy registrar offices statewide. For questions about ordering critical habitat license plates, call the Department of Public Safety-Driver and Vehicle Services at 612-297-3166.

      Discuss below - to view set the hook here.

    • The Minnesota Department of Natural Resources recently honored two youths for their outstanding conservation efforts during a ceremony at the 2016 Minnesota State Fair.

      Eliza Sankovitz from Waseca in Waseca County received the 4-H award and Melissa Schilling from Frazee in Becker County received the Future Farmers of America (FFA) award.

      The DNR Commissioner’s Youth Awards are given annually to an FFA student and 4-H member who have demonstrated initiative, leadership, creativity and achievement in conservation and wise use of natural and agricultural resources. This is the 25th year of the award program.

      Curious about the quality of the water in Clear Lake, Eliza Sankovitz asked the question, “What pollutants might be entering the lake?” This was the beginning of Sankovitz’s 4-H project titled “How Clear is Clear Lake.” Sankovitz found three locations around Clear Lake and took water samples after rain events. She then tested the water samples for bacteria, nitrates, chlorine, lead and pesticides. Sankovitz said she did find some pollutants entering the lake.

      Sankovitz is the daughter of Tom and Gretchen Sankovitz.

      Schilling grew up on a farm in rural Becker County. As a member of her FFA Fish and Wildlife Management team, she placed as top individual multiple times at regional competitions. Schilling also placed first in her area and third at state in the Minnesota Senior Envirothon.

      As a member of the Youth Conservation Corps, Schilling worked at the Tamarac National Wildlife Refuge. While on the job, she assisted with prairie restoration, bird surveys, goose banding, invasive species control and refuge facility maintenance. Schilling is currently enrolled at the University of Minnesota Crookston, and is pursuing a degree in wildlife management.

      Schilling is the daughter of Charles and Regina Schilling.

      Discuss below - to view set the hook here.

    • BringAnExtension

      Posted

      11 hours ago, ZachD said:

      I am sure Johnny P is all booked up on weekends by now and for some reason some of the guys don't like sleeper houses all though I may push for it this year last year was such a hassle packing everything up for the night loading the trucks having to bring sleds and wheelers. I much rather bring my flasher couple rods and lots of beer. I go fishing enough running and gunning its nice to have a break where you just show up and fish.

      Yes, he probably is.  I book with him early.  I think that he offers guide service in December up until he opens the sleepers up.  Might align with your portables.

    • I was on Namakan yesterday and kept 4 eyes 14" to 15" caught in under 20' of water. Water temp is 60. I was rigging with a half crawler. However, I had friends out using jigs and minnows in 40+ ft and they did well. He said he found a school and using his I Pilot just hovered over the top of them. So it seems the fish are scattered and all methods are working.

      1 person likes this
    • monstermoose78

      Posted

      I hope this weekend is better than last!!  I know there is a  lot of ducks around but they have so many places to hide.

    • If you want to stay away from the crowd I would suggest Beacon Harbor I think after jan 1st they don't allow day passes its only beacon harbor and outdoor authority who have houses there. Then they allow only a limited amount of yearly passes.

      Now they don't have all the bells and whistles like a bar and food ect but John and Ann are some of the nicest people you will ever meet. Not to mention I personally think it is some of the best.

       

      Now if you needed a bar and food and all that my choices would be Rogers or Westwind

    • fins_n'_feathers

      Posted

      Today was the complete opposite of yesterday. The current coming out of light house gap made a pocket of clear water out in the lake overnight, fished right on the edge of the muddy water in 14 feet of water and went through 3 bags of frozen shiners and caught a bunch on plastics after the minnows were gone. Nothing fantastic for size, only 3 in the slot but nice limits of 14-17 inchers and a ton of smaller fish. Once that muddy water gets blown out or clears up the bite is going to be crazy good!

      1 person likes this
    • eyeguy 54

      Posted

      212 wondering the same thing maybe?? ;)   

       

    • Agronomist_at_IA

      Posted



  • Posts

    • HunterFisher11
      Thanks for the info!!! Will be up there on 10/5-10/8, have been looking at the weather and I hope they are wrong because looks like rain... Have you ever tried fishing out on pike island area? Brother inlaw drove down there this summer and said there were quiet a few people fishing there.
    • Rick
      Minnesota motorists can support conservation with a new critical habitat plate featuring a wild turkey.
      The new plate displays a colorful tom turkey and is the ninth critical habitat plate offered. Other plates display a moose, loon, pheasant, chickadee, showy lady’s slipper, a fishing scene and two with white-tailed deer. There is also a specialty license plate for state parks and trails. “Wild turkey restoration in Minnesota is one of our great conservation success stories,” said Kim Hennings, wildlife land acquisition coordinator. “The critical habitat plates are a great way for motorists to show their interest and support for Minnesota’s fish and wildlife resources.” Wild turkeys are native to southeastern Minnesota, but disappeared by 1880 because of habitat loss and unregulated hunting. Successful reintroduction efforts starting in the 1970s led to turkeys now living over a wide range of Minnesota. “The wild turkey critical habitat plate has been long awaited for by our membership in Minnesota and turkey hunting enthusiasts,” said Tom Glines, National Wild Turkey Federation regional director. “We love the wild turkey resource and want to do everything we can do to keep wild turkey populations healthy and thriving.” The Minnesota Legislature created the critical habitat license plate program in 1995 to provide additional opportunity for Minnesotans to contribute toward conservation. Motorists who purchase a critical habitat plate pay a $10 initial fee, plus a minimum annual contribution of $30 to the Reinvest in Minnesota (RIM) program. Every dollar generated through the sale of the license plate is matched with private donations of cash or land. The annual $30 contribution is not tax deductible. Critical habitat license plate revenue has generated more than $59 million to acquire or improve 22,000 acres of critical habitat and helped fund non-game wildlife research and surveys, habitat enhancement and educational programs. Information about the program and details about how to order plates are available on the DNR website at www.mndnr.gov/plates. The new license plates are now available at deputy registrar offices statewide. For questions about ordering critical habitat license plates, call the Department of Public Safety-Driver and Vehicle Services at 612-297-3166. Discuss below - to view set the hook here.
    • Rick
      The Minnesota Department of Natural Resources recently honored two youths for their outstanding conservation efforts during a ceremony at the 2016 Minnesota State Fair. Eliza Sankovitz from Waseca in Waseca County received the 4-H award and Melissa Schilling from Frazee in Becker County received the Future Farmers of America (FFA) award. The DNR Commissioner’s Youth Awards are given annually to an FFA student and 4-H member who have demonstrated initiative, leadership, creativity and achievement in conservation and wise use of natural and agricultural resources. This is the 25th year of the award program. Curious about the quality of the water in Clear Lake, Eliza Sankovitz asked the question, “What pollutants might be entering the lake?” This was the beginning of Sankovitz’s 4-H project titled “How Clear is Clear Lake.” Sankovitz found three locations around Clear Lake and took water samples after rain events. She then tested the water samples for bacteria, nitrates, chlorine, lead and pesticides. Sankovitz said she did find some pollutants entering the lake. Sankovitz is the daughter of Tom and Gretchen Sankovitz. Schilling grew up on a farm in rural Becker County. As a member of her FFA Fish and Wildlife Management team, she placed as top individual multiple times at regional competitions. Schilling also placed first in her area and third at state in the Minnesota Senior Envirothon. As a member of the Youth Conservation Corps, Schilling worked at the Tamarac National Wildlife Refuge. While on the job, she assisted with prairie restoration, bird surveys, goose banding, invasive species control and refuge facility maintenance. Schilling is currently enrolled at the University of Minnesota Crookston, and is pursuing a degree in wildlife management. Schilling is the daughter of Charles and Regina Schilling. Discuss below - to view set the hook here.
    • BringAnExtension
      Yes, he probably is.  I book with him early.  I think that he offers guide service in December up until he opens the sleepers up.  Might align with your portables.
    • Dusty
      I was on Namakan yesterday and kept 4 eyes 14" to 15" caught in under 20' of water. Water temp is 60. I was rigging with a half crawler. However, I had friends out using jigs and minnows in 40+ ft and they did well. He said he found a school and using his I Pilot just hovered over the top of them. So it seems the fish are scattered and all methods are working.